CNN: Iran Rebuilding Military Industrial Base Faster Than Expected
Iran has already restarted some of its drone production during the six-week ceasefire that began in early April, one sign it is rapidly rebuilding certain military capabilities degraded by US-Israeli attacks, according to two sources familiar with US intelligence assessments.
Four sources told CNN that US intelligence indicates Iran’s military is reconstituting much faster than initially estimated.The rebuilding of military capabilities, including replacing missile sites, launchers and production capacity for key weapons systems destroyed during the current war, means that "Iran remains a significant threat to regional allies" should President Donald Trump restart the bombing campaign, according to the four sources familiar with the intelligence. It also calls into question claims about the extent to which US-Israeli strikes have degraded Iran’s military in the long term.While the time to restart production of different weapons components varies, some US intelligence estimates indicate Iran could fully reconstitute its drone attack capability in as soon as six months, one of the sources, a US official, told CNN.“The Iranians have exceeded all timelines the IC had for reconstitution,” the US official added.Drone strikes are a particular concern for regional allies. If hostilities resume, Iran could augment its missile production capability — which has been significantly degraded — with more drone launches, to continue firing at Israel and Persian Gulf countries that are well within range of both weapons systems.
Trump has repeatedly threatened to resume combat operations against Iran if the two countries fail to reach an accord to end the war, including saying publicly on Tuesday that he’d been an hour from restarting bombing, meaning these military capabilities could come into play.The Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC) has emphasized that if onslaught against Iran is repeated, the promised regional war will this time expand beyond the region.Iran has been able to rebuild much faster than expected due to a combination of factors, ranging from support it is receiving from Russia and China to the fact that the US and Israel did not inflict as much damage as the two sides had hoped, one of the sources told CNN.
Iran also still maintains ballistic-missile, drone-attack and anti-air capability despite the serious damage inflicted by US-Israeli raids, according to recent US intelligence assessments, meaning the quick rebuilding of military production capacity isn’t starting from scratch.
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